Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 66.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Eichel
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Stamkos
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Eichel
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
56.1% (342)
-8.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
53.3% (92)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
62.5% (8)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stamkos
Home
47.7% (509)
53.4% (208)
Away
48.1% (499)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Eichel
Stamkos
P1
49.5%
55.6%
P2
48.5%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
59.1%
OT
37.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |