Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 73.8%
Defensive zone
Eichel 73.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 75.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Eichel
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eichel
Stamkos
Last 5: Eichel 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Eichel
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Eichel
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
55.9% (499)
-9.5%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
56.3% (126)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
58.3% (12)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eichel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Eichel shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stamkos
Home
44.0% (457)
55.3% (349)
Away
47.0% (451)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Eichel
Stamkos
P1
45.1%
57.0%
P2
46.5%
59.2%
P3
45.3%
51.5%
OT
28.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |