Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 32-20 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 82.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 77.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 75.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Eichel
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
32
(52 meetings)
20
32
Eichel
Stamkos
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
12
Eichel
Stamkos
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
9
Eichel
Stamkos
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
7
11
Eichel
Stamkos
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
50.4% (9,799)
-5.7%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
55.1% (1,725)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
49.7% (825)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Eichel
Stamkos
Home
45.7% (4,899)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Eichel
Stamkos
P1
45.4%
49.1%
P2
45.8%
52.7%
P3
44.2%
50.9%
OT
44.2%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |