Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.8%). Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.3% vs Johnston 48.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 53.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 50.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Eichel
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eichel
Johnston
Last 7: Eichel 5-2 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (639)
47.2% (458)
-0.3%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
50.9% (55)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
51.6% (31)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Eichel shoots right. Johnston is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Eichel
Johnston
Home
44.4% (385)
47.7% (243)
Away
49.6% (373)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Eichel
Johnston
P1
48.0%
48.0%
P2
49.0%
48.2%
P3
45.0%
48.0%
OT
38.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
47.0%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |