Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.3%). Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Johnston 48.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 52.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 52.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Eichel
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Eichel
Johnston
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Eichel
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Eichel
Johnston
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
47.8% (623)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
50.8% (63)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
51.4% (35)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. Johnston is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Eichel
Johnston
Home
47.7% (509)
47.6% (351)
Away
48.1% (499)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Eichel
Johnston
P1
49.5%
49.6%
P2
48.5%
47.3%
P3
46.8%
48.0%
OT
37.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |