Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Johnston 44.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 52.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 51.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Eichel
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Eichel
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Eichel
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
42.5% (318)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
55.6% (9)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
62.5% (8)
-33.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Eichel is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Eichel shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Eichel
Johnston
Home
46.1% (388)
40.5% (168)
Away
44.4% (405)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Eichel
Johnston
P1
46.8%
46.9%
P2
43.4%
40.4%
P3
45.4%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:07 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |