Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Evans 55.0% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Finley 67.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Finley
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
55.6% (522)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
72.7% (11)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
55.2% (210)
-3.7%
On power play, Evans has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Finley is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Finley shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Finley
Evans
Home
53.8% (199)
54.7% (402)
Away
44.9% (127)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Finley
Evans
P1
52.8%
57.9%
P2
47.5%
55.2%
P3
51.3%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%