Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Evans 52.2% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Finley 65.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.9%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Finley
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
53.7% (3,740)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.6% (71)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
47.1% (1,228)
+4.4%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Finley
Evans
Home
53.8% (199)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
45.5% (132)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Finley
Evans
P1
52.8%
54.0%
P2
47.5%
50.9%
P3
51.6%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%