Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.7% vs Rossi 49.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 80.7%
Defensive zone
Finley 68.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Finley
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Rossi
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Finley
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (332)
51.0% (510)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
34.2% (38)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (48)
37.0% (27)
+17.2%
On power play, Finley has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Finley is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Finley shoots right. Rossi is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Finley
Rossi
Home
52.1% (234)
49.1% (289)
Away
49.1% (161)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Finley
Rossi
P1
51.3%
52.7%
P2
49.3%
45.5%
P3
52.3%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
52.0%▼
54.0%
50.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |