Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Rossi 46.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 70.4%
Defensive zone
Finley 67.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.5%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Finley
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Rossi
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Finley
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
47.0% (2,140)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.3% (188)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
34.1% (44)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Finley shoots right. Rossi is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Finley
Rossi
Home
50.0% (162)
47.8% (1,207)
Away
46.7% (122)
45.7% (1,165)
By Period
Finley
Rossi
P1
53.2%
47.3%
P2
44.6%
44.8%
P3
49.5%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |