Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Rossi 50.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.2%
Defensive zone
Finley 73.5%
Neutral zone
Finley 53.5%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Finley
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Rossi
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Finley
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
52.8% (400)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
36.1% (36)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
37.0% (27)
+20.7%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Finley shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Finley
Rossi
Home
50.0% (162)
50.0% (242)
Away
46.2% (117)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Finley
Rossi
P1
53.2%
54.9%
P2
44.6%
48.7%
P3
49.0%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |