Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 51.2% vs Hughes 37.9% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 65.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 96.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 87.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Cirelli
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Cirelli
Hughes
Last 10: Cirelli 8-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
2
Cirelli
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (585)
34.9% (444)
+17.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
50.0% (14)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (172)
33.3% (6)
+13.2%
On even strength, Cirelli has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cirelli is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Cirelli shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hughes
Home
52.4% (462)
37.4% (235)
Away
50.1% (369)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Cirelli
Hughes
P1
50.7%
37.1%
P2
49.6%
33.7%
P3
53.3%
34.8%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |