Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Hughes 37.9% (+20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 81.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 98.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 95.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 95.9%
95.9%
4.1%
Lindholm
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lindholm
Hughes
Last 8: Lindholm 7-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
0
Lindholm
Hughes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Lindholm
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
34.9% (444)
+22.8%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
50.0% (14)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
33.3% (6)
+15.3%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hughes
Home
55.7% (760)
37.4% (235)
Away
55.8% (778)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Lindholm
Hughes
P1
53.7%
37.1%
P2
58.3%
33.7%
P3
55.1%
34.8%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |