Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Roslovic 45.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 56.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 82.2%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 60.0%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Hughes
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Roslovic
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
1
2
Hughes
Roslovic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Roslovic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
45.8% (729)
-10.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
42.9% (105)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.2% (55)
-4.9%
On even strength, Roslovic has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Roslovic is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Hughes
Roslovic
Home
37.4% (235)
45.4% (447)
Away
33.2% (229)
44.6% (442)
By Period
Hughes
Roslovic
P1
37.1%
43.2%
P2
33.7%
44.7%
P3
34.8%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |