Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Roslovic 45.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 60.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 68.6%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Hughes
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Hughes
Roslovic
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Roslovic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Roslovic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Roslovic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
44.9% (2,997)
-8.9%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
48.1% (339)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
34.3% (105)
-3.3%
On power play, Roslovic has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Home / Away
Hughes
Roslovic
Home
36.8% (1,670)
44.0% (1,737)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
45.8% (1,704)
By Period
Hughes
Roslovic
P1
36.9%
45.5%
P2
33.6%
44.6%
P3
38.1%
44.9%
OT
37.5%
31.8%
Final 5 min
34.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |