Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Larsson 48.4% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 78.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 92.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 75.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Hughes
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Larsson
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
48.4% (506)
-12.8%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
62.5% (24)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.9% (138)
-11.6%
On power play, Larsson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Hughes shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Hughes
Larsson
Home
37.6% (255)
51.9% (335)
Away
34.3% (207)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Hughes
Larsson
P1
28.5%
48.7%
P2
39.2%
48.3%
P3
40.8%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |