Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Tavares 57.2% (-21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Hughes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Hughes
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
58.0% (914)
-21.2%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
57.0% (235)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
57.9% (19)
-24.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Hughes
Tavares
Home
35.1% (148)
57.8% (614)
Away
37.4% (131)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Hughes
Tavares
P1
43.0%
58.0%
P2
28.7%
56.9%
P3
35.2%
58.4%
Final 5 min
28.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |