Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +26.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-26.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Hughes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hughes
Tavares
Last 7: Hughes 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Hughes
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Hughes
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
60.9% (1,043)
-26.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
60.4% (278)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.6% (21)
-22.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Hughes
Tavares
Home
32.6% (187)
63.5% (684)
Away
36.7% (166)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Hughes
Tavares
P1
33.9%
60.3%
P2
34.2%
60.4%
P3
36.5%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
29.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |