Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Danforth 48.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 93.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 67.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 83.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Hughes
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hughes
Danforth
Last 7: Hughes 1-6 Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Danforth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
4
Hughes
Danforth
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Hughes
Danforth
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
51.2% (281)
-15.6%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On even strength, Danforth has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Hughes
Danforth
Home
38.4% (198)
52.0% (196)
Away
35.3% (119)
44.1% (161)
By Period
Hughes
Danforth
P1
44.3%
48.2%
P2
34.2%
52.8%
P3
34.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |