Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Eller 50.3% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 50.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 62.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Hughes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Hughes
Eller
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Hughes
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Hughes
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Hughes
Eller
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
49.4% (518)
-13.7%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
57.6% (33)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
52.8% (108)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Hughes shoots left. Eller is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Hughes
Eller
Home
37.8% (333)
49.0% (304)
Away
32.4% (278)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Hughes
Eller
P1
38.8%
55.5%
P2
28.3%
44.0%
P3
38.6%
53.2%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
31.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |