Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Eller 49.5% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Hughes
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hughes
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Hughes
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
51.1% (786)
-16.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
45.0% (80)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
43.6% (165)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Hughes
Eller
Home
32.6% (187)
51.2% (510)
Away
36.7% (166)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Hughes
Eller
P1
33.9%
50.7%
P2
34.2%
49.0%
P3
36.5%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
29.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |