Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Crouse 41.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crouse 53.2%
Defensive zone
Crouse 65.7%
Neutral zone
Crouse 61.1%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Hughes
Crouse
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Crouse
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crouse
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
39.1% (394)
-3.1%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
40.4% (47)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
39.3% (56)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Crouse has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Crouse is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crouse
Home
36.8% (1,670)
40.8% (262)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
37.4% (235)
By Period
Hughes
Crouse
P1
36.9%
44.5%
P2
33.6%
33.7%
P3
38.1%
37.4%
Final 5 min
34.2%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |