Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Crouse 45.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crouse 60.7%
Defensive zone
Crouse 82.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Hughes
Crouse
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Crouse
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crouse
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
41.7% (60)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.5% (13)
-5.2%
On power play, Hughes has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Crouse is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crouse
Home
37.4% (235)
43.1% (51)
Away
33.2% (229)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Hughes
Crouse
P1
37.1%
47.2%
P2
33.7%
40.6%
P3
34.8%
21.4%
Final 5 min
32.7%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.3%
Crouse
40.0%▲
37.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |