Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Crouse 41.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crouse 53.2%
Defensive zone
Crouse 68.8%
Neutral zone
Crouse 65.7%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Hughes
Crouse
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Crouse
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Crouse
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
39.3% (384)
-3.4%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
41.3% (46)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
38.9% (54)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Crouse has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Hughes shoots left. Crouse is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crouse
Home
36.7% (1,596)
40.9% (254)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
37.8% (230)
By Period
Hughes
Crouse
P1
36.3%
44.6%
P2
33.7%
34.5%
P3
38.3%
36.8%
Final 5 min
34.4%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Crouse
40.0%▲
37.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |