Scouting Report
Logan Brown holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Brown 39.6% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 69.4%
Defensive zone
Brown 64.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Hughes
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
37.4% (457)
-1.4%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
39.4% (33)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
25.0% (4)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Hughes
Brown
Home
36.8% (1,670)
39.7% (239)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Hughes
Brown
P1
36.9%
39.8%
P2
33.6%
33.7%
P3
38.1%
38.9%
Final 5 min
34.2%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%