Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.3% vs 34.5%). Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Brown 40.3% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Hughes
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
35.7% (154)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
23.1% (13)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Hughes
Brown
Home
37.4% (235)
39.7% (73)
Away
33.2% (229)
30.5% (95)
By Period
Hughes
Brown
P1
37.1%
30.4%
P2
33.7%
39.7%
P3
34.8%
32.7%
Final 5 min
32.7%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.3%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%