Scouting Report
Logan Brown holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Brown 39.6% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 69.4%
Defensive zone
Brown 64.5%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hughes
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
37.4% (457)
-1.5%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
39.4% (33)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
25.0% (4)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Hughes shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Hughes
Brown
Home
36.7% (1,596)
39.7% (239)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Hughes
Brown
P1
36.3%
39.8%
P2
33.7%
33.7%
P3
38.3%
38.9%
Final 5 min
34.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%