Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Celebrini 48.4% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 54.8%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 80.4%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 73.4%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Hughes
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hughes
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Hughes
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
47.2% (901)
-9.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
54.7% (139)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
54.5% (11)
-18.1%
On power play, Celebrini has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Hughes
Celebrini
Home
36.6% (314)
47.6% (553)
Away
38.5% (353)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Hughes
Celebrini
P1
36.4%
46.6%
P2
35.6%
46.4%
P3
41.8%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |