Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Celebrini 48.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 66.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 71.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Hughes
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Celebrini
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Hughes
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Hughes
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
2
Hughes
Celebrini
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
48.2% (924)
-11.4%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
52.8% (108)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
56.0% (25)
-22.7%
On power play, Celebrini has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Hughes
Celebrini
Home
35.1% (148)
47.8% (523)
Away
37.4% (131)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Hughes
Celebrini
P1
43.0%
47.8%
P2
28.7%
47.4%
P3
35.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
28.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |