Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Kasper 49.8% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kasper 86.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 60.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Hughes
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hughes
Kasper
Last 7: Hughes 4-3 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
3
Hughes
Kasper
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Kasper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
51.1% (350)
-14.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
33.3% (9)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
31.6% (19)
+1.7%
On power play, Kasper has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kasper
Home
35.1% (148)
51.1% (184)
Away
37.4% (131)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Hughes
Kasper
P1
43.0%
53.8%
P2
28.7%
52.2%
P3
35.2%
42.6%
Final 5 min
28.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |