Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Kasper 45.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.3%
Defensive zone
Kasper 67.3%
Neutral zone
Kasper 59.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Hughes
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hughes
Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
2
Hughes
Kasper
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Kasper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
45.1% (586)
-7.2%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
52.2% (23)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
29.4% (17)
+7.0%
On power play, Kasper has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kasper
Home
36.6% (314)
47.9% (280)
Away
38.5% (353)
42.5% (346)
By Period
Hughes
Kasper
P1
36.4%
45.8%
P2
35.6%
50.0%
P3
41.8%
38.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |