Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Kasper 46.8% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 58.2%
Defensive zone
Kasper 83.8%
Neutral zone
Kasper 70.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Hughes
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hughes
Kasper
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Kasper
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
3
Hughes
Kasper
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
47.0% (944)
-11.0%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
46.9% (32)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
30.6% (36)
+0.4%
On even strength, Kasper has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Kasper is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kasper
Home
36.8% (1,670)
49.1% (464)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
44.2% (548)
By Period
Hughes
Kasper
P1
36.9%
47.8%
P2
33.6%
51.0%
P3
38.1%
39.9%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
34.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |