Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Rossi 45.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 63.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 61.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Hughes
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Rossi
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
1
Hughes
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Hughes
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Hughes
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
44.5% (701)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
56.1% (41)
-6.1%
On even strength, Rossi has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rossi
Home
38.4% (198)
46.8% (385)
Away
35.3% (119)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Hughes
Rossi
P1
44.3%
42.8%
P2
34.2%
43.9%
P3
34.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |