Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Rossi 50.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 55.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 67.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Hughes
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hughes
Rossi
Last 9: Hughes 3-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
4
Hughes
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
2
Hughes
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
52.8% (400)
-16.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
36.1% (36)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.0% (27)
-3.7%
On power play, Rossi has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rossi
Home
35.1% (148)
50.0% (242)
Away
37.4% (131)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Hughes
Rossi
P1
43.0%
54.9%
P2
28.7%
48.7%
P3
35.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
28.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |