Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 61.6%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 70.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Hughes
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Hughes
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
46.8% (248)
-10.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
62.5% (8)
-48.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.8% (16)
-10.5%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rasmussen
Home
35.1% (148)
50.0% (98)
Away
37.4% (131)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Hughes
Rasmussen
P1
43.0%
40.2%
P2
28.7%
55.8%
P3
35.2%
43.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |