Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Rasmussen 47.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.9%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 51.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hughes
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Hughes
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
47.3% (184)
-9.4%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
0.0% (3)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Hughes has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Rasmussen is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rasmussen
Home
36.6% (314)
42.3% (104)
Away
38.5% (353)
51.1% (92)
By Period
Hughes
Rasmussen
P1
36.4%
47.2%
P2
35.6%
42.9%
P3
41.8%
49.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |