Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 55.4%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 88.8%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 65.5%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Hughes
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Rasmussen
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
Hughes
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
50.8% (333)
-15.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.9% (37)
-12.6%
On even strength, Rasmussen has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Rasmussen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rasmussen
Home
37.4% (235)
51.4% (212)
Away
33.2% (229)
50.5% (186)
By Period
Hughes
Rasmussen
P1
37.1%
54.5%
P2
33.7%
43.4%
P3
34.8%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |