Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Granlund 47.4% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 65.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 74.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Hughes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hughes
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Hughes
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
47.7% (1,001)
-13.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.4% (73)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.2% (132)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Hughes
Granlund
Home
32.6% (187)
45.9% (582)
Away
36.7% (166)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Hughes
Granlund
P1
33.9%
48.6%
P2
34.2%
46.7%
P3
36.5%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
29.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |