Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Granlund 49.6% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 80.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 57.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hughes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Hughes
Granlund
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
0
Hughes
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Hughes
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Hughes
Granlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
49.5% (588)
-11.6%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
60.5% (43)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.2% (93)
-8.8%
On power play, Granlund has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Hughes
Granlund
Home
36.6% (314)
54.8% (305)
Away
38.5% (353)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Hughes
Granlund
P1
36.4%
43.8%
P2
35.6%
51.2%
P3
41.8%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |