Jack Hughes vs Mitchell Stephens
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Stephens 52.4% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.1%
Defensive zone
Stephens 56.3%
Neutral zone
Stephens 51.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Hughes
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hughes
Stephens
Last 7: Hughes 3-4 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Hughes
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Hughes
Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Stephens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
54.5% (795)
-18.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
21.4% (14)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.2% (178)
-16.2%
On even strength, Stephens has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Hughes
Stephens
Home
36.8% (1,670)
54.1% (471)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
51.3% (517)
By Period
Hughes
Stephens
P1
36.9%
53.6%
P2
33.6%
50.7%
P3
38.1%
54.3%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |