Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Stephens 49.3% (-14.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 75.5%
Defensive zone
Stephens 81.5%
Neutral zone
Stephens 58.7%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Hughes
Stephens
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
50.8% (199)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
42.6% (54)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Stephens has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Stephens is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Hughes
Stephens
Home
32.6% (187)
53.3% (122)
Away
36.7% (166)
45.0% (131)
By Period
Hughes
Stephens
P1
33.9%
52.6%
P2
34.2%
48.0%
P3
36.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
29.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%