Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Geekie 44.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 79.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 57.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Hughes
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hughes
Geekie
Last 6: Hughes 3-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Hughes
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
43.7% (584)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
On even strength, Geekie has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Hughes
Geekie
Home
38.4% (198)
45.3% (329)
Away
35.3% (119)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Hughes
Geekie
P1
44.3%
41.2%
P2
34.2%
45.0%
P3
34.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |