Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Geekie 47.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 60.7%
Defensive zone
Geekie 71.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 70.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Hughes
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
45.7% (352)
-7.8%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
63.2% (19)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
33.3% (3)
+3.1%
On power play, Geekie has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Hughes
Geekie
Home
36.6% (314)
48.5% (165)
Away
38.5% (353)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Hughes
Geekie
P1
36.4%
48.5%
P2
35.6%
45.1%
P3
41.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
36.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |