Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Acciari 51.2% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 92.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 72.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 71.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hughes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Acciari
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Hughes
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Hughes
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
53.0% (285)
-16.2%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
31.3% (16)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.8% (183)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Hughes
Acciari
Home
35.1% (148)
53.2% (267)
Away
37.4% (131)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Hughes
Acciari
P1
43.0%
53.1%
P2
28.7%
51.1%
P3
35.2%
50.6%
Final 5 min
28.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |