Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Acciari 51.3% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Hughes
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Hughes
Acciari
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
1
Hughes
Acciari
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
8
Hughes
Acciari
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
52.8% (3,276)
-16.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
48.2% (85)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.1% (1,061)
-16.1%
On even strength, Acciari has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Hughes
Acciari
Home
36.8% (1,670)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Hughes
Acciari
P1
36.9%
52.2%
P2
33.6%
51.5%
P3
38.1%
50.5%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |