Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Danault 54.0% (-19.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Hughes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Hughes
Danault
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Hughes
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Hughes
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
55.1% (953)
-20.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
64.6% (144)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.0% (176)
-8.7%
On even strength, Danault has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Hughes
Danault
Home
37.4% (235)
55.4% (641)
Away
33.2% (229)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Hughes
Danault
P1
37.1%
61.0%
P2
33.7%
52.3%
P3
34.8%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |