Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Danault 52.1% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.3%
Defensive zone
Hughes 62.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 81.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Hughes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hughes
Danault
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
3
Hughes
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Hughes
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Hughes
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
52.4% (958)
-14.5%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
62.0% (71)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
47.6% (187)
-11.2%
On power play, Danault has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Hughes
Danault
Home
36.6% (314)
51.2% (605)
Away
38.5% (353)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Hughes
Danault
P1
36.4%
53.1%
P2
35.6%
49.8%
P3
41.8%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |