Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Dubois 49.0% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Hughes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Hughes
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Hughes
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
48.7% (809)
-13.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.9% (163)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.5% (16)
-4.2%
On even strength, Dubois has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dubois
Home
37.4% (235)
50.5% (497)
Away
33.2% (229)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Hughes
Dubois
P1
37.1%
49.0%
P2
33.7%
48.2%
P3
34.8%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
32.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |