Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Dubois 49.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 51.1%
Defensive zone
Dubois 88.8%
Neutral zone
Dubois 75.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Hughes
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Hughes
Dubois
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
7
Hughes
Dubois
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
1
Hughes
Dubois
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
49.8% (1,064)
-11.9%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
46.3% (67)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
53.3% (30)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dubois
Home
36.6% (314)
48.3% (582)
Away
38.5% (353)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Hughes
Dubois
P1
36.4%
52.0%
P2
35.6%
49.9%
P3
41.8%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |