Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Byfield 44.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.3%
Defensive zone
Byfield 83.5%
Neutral zone
Byfield 74.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hughes
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hughes
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
44.5% (853)
-6.6%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
42.9% (21)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
38.2% (68)
-1.8%
On power play, Byfield has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Hughes shoots left. Byfield is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Hughes
Byfield
Home
36.6% (314)
43.8% (502)
Away
38.5% (353)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Hughes
Byfield
P1
36.4%
44.2%
P2
35.6%
43.0%
P3
41.8%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |